Scratch

Here you will find older scratches, musings and other detritus that once were located on the front pages, but have now faded.

Filed away here to collect dust and cobwwwebs in perpetuity, links may break, facts may change and data may corrupt.

On occasion I may come down here to tidy, but for the most, I prefer to leave the past where it lies.

Six Nations

Tomorrow is the final day of the Six Nations, and has the good timing/fortune to also be St Patrick's Day. Needless to say the odd jar of Guiness may be imbibed at some point during the the six hour rugby marathon. Turning to the rugby, and looking at the chances of England winning the Championship, I think its fair to say that we are an outside chance, and William Hill seem to agree putting us at 25/1, with Ireland 13/8 and then the favourites France at 4/9. What William Hill don't seem to be giving odds for is, and you might be suprised or actually you probably won't, is for Italy to win. As an explanation, lets quickly look at the table, and please bear with me if my maths is a bit rusty.

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	Dif	PTS
1	France	4	3	0	1	109	67	+42	6
2	Ireland	4	3	0	1	98	60	+38	6
3	England	4	3	0	1	101	88	+13	6
4	Italy	4	2	0	2	70	96	-26	4
5	Scotland	4	1	0	3	76	107	-31	2
6	Wales	4	0	0	4	59	95	-36	0

Ok, then, if Scotland beat France, Wales beat England (never a good thing but hey) and Italy go at least 65 ahead against Ireland (66 if France lose by 3, 67 if by 2 and 68 if by 1), then Italy win. Now, looking at the cumulative odds, Scotland 13/2, Wales 5/4, and Italy to win by anything more than 36 is 150/1, which if my maths is correct is 19500/1. Worth a quid.

16 Mar 2007 22:51 | (2) comments | Thoughts